Junior 2-2 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.03
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-0D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.11.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
24.08.2023 Junior Junior 4-3 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-2
AWAY America de Cali
0.81 xG 1.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and America de Cali couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 55% of the ball to America de Cali's 45%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Junior and 1.83 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs America de Cali?

Junior 2-2 America de Cali in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Junior 43%, draw 28%, America de Cali 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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