Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
02.02.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 2-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.05.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.10.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0-2
AWAY Caracas FC
1.30 xG 0.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
410 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC saw off Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 63% of the ball to Caracas FC's 37%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.57 — on chances, Deportivo La Guaira could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.00 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 Caracas FC in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 41%, draw 30%, Caracas FC 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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