Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
5.27
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.86
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
4%
15.2
X/1
13%
6.85
X/2
8%
4.51
X/X
13%
3.6
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
27%
3.1
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.06/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nancy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 Passes 348
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
26.05.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-3 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
15.08.2022 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
16.02.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-2 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
19.09.2017 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
11.03.2016 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 nicked a narrow win over Nancy 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bourg en Bresse 01 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nancy?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 34%, draw 26%, Nancy 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nancy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
7 Mar 2025
21:30 Versailles vs Rouen Analysis →
21:30 Chateauroux vs Concarneau Analysis →
21:30 Sochaux vs Nimes Analysis →
21:30 Boulogne vs Aubagne Analysis →
21:30 Villefranche vs Valenciennes Analysis →
21:30 Quevilly vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →