Chateauroux 1-0 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Mar 2025

Chateauroux
1-0 HT 0-0
Concarneau
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Chateauroux vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
15%
16.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
18%
5.66
X/2
12%
5.51
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
3.76
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.29/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.85
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Chateauroux vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 3-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
10.03.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 4-2 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
03.10.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 2-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
21.03.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
08.10.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-2 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3

Chateauroux 1-0 Concarneau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
1-0
AWAY Concarneau
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Chateauroux made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chateauroux had 38% of the ball to Concarneau's 62%, shots finished 8-20.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Concarneau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.80 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Concarneau?

Chateauroux 1-0 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 39%, draw 25%, Concarneau 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chateauroux) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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