Nancy 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
14%
4.06
X/2
9%
8.22
X/X
15%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
6.65
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.89/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.11
+23% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-3 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
15.08.2022 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
16.02.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-2 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
19.09.2017 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
11.03.2016 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
23.10.2015 Nancy Nancy 3-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-0
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nancy had 52% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nancy and 2.00 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Nancy 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nancy 43%, draw 27%, Bourg en Bresse 01 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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