Nimes 1-1 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.54
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.14
X/2
14%
4.88
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.39
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.07/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.06
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sochaux
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Nimes Nimes 4-2 HT 2-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
15.01.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
02.06.2023 Nimes Nimes 3-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
17.09.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 3-1 HT 2-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
16.04.2022 Nimes Nimes 1-3 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
06.11.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
1-1
AWAY Sochaux
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes and Sochaux shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Nimes had 45% of the ball to Sochaux's 55%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nimes and 1.67 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Sochaux?

Nimes 1-1 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nimes 35%, draw 28%, Sochaux 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ BTTS Yes
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