Aubagne 3-0 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Oct 2024

Aubagne
3-0 HT 2-0
Boulogne
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Aubagne vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
4.72
1/2
4%
30.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
5%
6.09
X/2
14%
4.72
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.3
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aubagne v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 45%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
+73% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne swept aside Boulogne 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Aubagne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Boulogne?

Aubagne 3-0 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 37%, draw 23%, Boulogne 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5
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