Orleans 1-1 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.79
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.21
X/2
9%
5.47
X/X
13%
3.99
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
16%
4.06
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -27%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.77
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dijon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
10.11.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-2 HT 1-2 Dijon Dijon FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans and Dijon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dijon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orleans and 1.50 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Dijon?

Orleans 1-1 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Orleans 37%, draw 30%, Dijon 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orleans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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