Connahs Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
2.07/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.46
-25% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
04.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
16.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
06.10.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
18.08.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 4-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
20.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
3-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay cruised past Aberystwyth Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 74% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 26%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.67 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Connahs Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 59%, draw 22%, Aberystwyth Town 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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