Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
4-0
HT 4-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
3-0
HT 1-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
2-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
Aberystwyth Town squeezed past Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.67 for Aberystwyth Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town?
Connahs Quay 1-2 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - League Cup on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 53%, draw 23%, Aberystwyth Town 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No went the other way.