Atmosfera 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.3pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 21%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.61/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.01
-12% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-0
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atmosfera had 51% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 49%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Atmosfera 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 44%, draw 30%, Kauno Zalgiris II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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