Neptüna Klaipeda 5-1 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
2.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.51
+6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
29.03.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
20.08.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
02.04.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
21.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
19.06.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda ran out comfortable winners over FA Siauliai II 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.67 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs FA Siauliai II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 5-1 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 60%, draw 21%, FA Siauliai II 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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