Nevezis 1-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.92/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.65
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 4-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
21.06.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 HT 1-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nevezis
1-1
AWAY Hegelmann II
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis and Hegelmann II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nevezis had 50% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 50%, shots finished 17-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nevezis and 0.50 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Hegelmann II?

Nevezis 1-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 53%, draw 23%, Hegelmann II 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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