Boreham Wood 5-3 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
9%
7.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 25% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.71
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
3.97
X/2
6%
13.25
X/X
8%
6.79
2/1
6%
20.2
2/2
10%
10.55
2/X
4%
18.9
Value flag · X/1 at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.8pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.59/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.01
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +79%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
181 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 116 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Brackley Town
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2026 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 5-2 HT 3-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İULK
13.12.2025 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 3-3 HT 1-2 Brackley Town Brackley Town İNFAT
08.11.2025 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
5-3
AWAY Brackley Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood beat Brackley Town 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 60% of the ball to Brackley Town's 40%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Boreham Wood and 2.00 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Brackley Town?

Boreham Wood 5-3 Brackley Town in the England - National League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 65%, draw 16%, Brackley Town 19%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
7 Mar 2026
18:00 Altrincham vs Truro City Analysis →
18:00 Braintree Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Boston United Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Morecambe Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Aldershot Town Analysis →