Sutton United 0-5 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Mar 2026

Sutton United
0-5 HT 0-4
Morecambe
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Sutton United vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
6%
9.15
X/X
10%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.5
2/2
12%
6.32
2/X
6%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.70
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
223 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 159 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sutton United vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Morecambe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
243 Passes 174
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Morecambe Morecambe 2-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
10.02.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
21.10.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 2-3 HT 1-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2

Sutton United 0-5 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
0-5
AWAY Morecambe
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe cruised past Sutton United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Sutton United carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Sutton United had 60% of the ball to Morecambe's 40%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sutton United and 2.00 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Morecambe?

Sutton United 0-5 Morecambe in the England - National League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 55%, draw 21%, Morecambe 24%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sutton United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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