Rochdale 1-0 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Mar 2026

Rochdale
1-0 HT 0-0
Boston United
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - National League – 2025/2026

Rochdale vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
12%
3.87
X/2
9%
11.85
X/X
12%
5.7
2/1
10%
22.65
2/2
9%
10.0
2/X
5%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +20%
2.31/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.58
+20% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
219 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 120 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rochdale vs Boston United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boston United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
197 Passes 159
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Boston United Boston United 1-3 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
18.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 2-3 HT 0-2 Boston United Boston United İBSL
10.08.2024 Boston United Boston United 0-3 HT 0-2 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
16.12.2019 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
01.12.2019 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United FAK
30.12.2006 Rochdale Rochdale 4-0 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale edged past Boston United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rochdale and 0.83 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Boston United?

Rochdale 1-0 Boston United in the England - National League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 52%, draw 25%, Boston United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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