Carlisle United 2-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.39
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.54
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.06
6+
6%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.51
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.93
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Carlisle United The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United The Market 39%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
1.51 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
Great Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
133 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 148 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Southend United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
197 Passes 220
61% Pass Accuracy 60%
31 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 1-2 Carlisle United Carlisle United İBSL
03.04.2021 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
19.09.2020 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-0 HT 2-0 Southend United Southend United İN2
28.02.2015 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
23.08.2014 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
20.03.2010 Southend United Southend United 2-2 HT 2-2 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
2 - 2
AWAY Southend United
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Carlisle United vs Southend United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carlisle United and Southend United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. From 2-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A draw from a 36% / 27% / 37% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Southend United saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Carlisle United against 1.00 for Southend United.

Carlisle United vs Southend United Result & Final Score

Carlisle United 2 - 2 Southend United in the England - National League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carlisle United vs Southend United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 36%, draw 27%, Southend United 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southend United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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