Hampton & Richmond 2-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.32/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 3-3 HT 0-2 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
04.11.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
18.03.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
26.11.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-2 HT 0-2 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond squeezed past Dover Athletic 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hampton & Richmond as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 52% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 48%, shots finished 15-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hampton & Richmond had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 1.25 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Dover Athletic?

Hampton & Richmond 2-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 46%, draw 28%, Dover Athletic 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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