Kalmar 2-2 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.0
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 17%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/2.84
-6% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Örgryte
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ2
22.06.2025 Kalmar Kalmar 2-3 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
23.02.2020 Kalmar Kalmar 3-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
03.10.2009 Örgryte Örgryte 4-2 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
21.05.2009 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
05.11.2006 Kalmar Kalmar 3-2 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
2-2
AWAY Örgryte
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar and Örgryte couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kalmar at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kalmar had 63% of the ball to Örgryte's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kalmar and 1.50 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Örgryte?

Kalmar 2-2 Örgryte in the Sweden - Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 66%, draw 19%, Örgryte 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalmar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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