Mjallby 2-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
74%
-1.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.7pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 12%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.83/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/2.16
+19% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
508 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
4W-1D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.17 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
426 Passes 396
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-5 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
01.06.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
25.09.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
02.06.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
01.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-3 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-1
AWAY IFK Varnamo
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby squeezed past IFK Varnamo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mjallby had 52% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 48%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mjallby and 0.83 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo?

Mjallby 2-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 73%, draw 18%, IFK Varnamo 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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