GAIS 5-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 19%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
3.62/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.94
+74% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Norrköping
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
31.05.2025 Norrköping Norrköping 0-3 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
02.03.2025 GAIS GAIS 0-3 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
03.08.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
14.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
5-1
AWAY Norrköping
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS ran out comfortable winners over Norrköping 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, GAIS had 47% of the ball to Norrköping's 53%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for GAIS and 1.17 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Norrköping?

GAIS 5-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split GAIS 56%, draw 19%, Norrköping 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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