Osasuna vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Osasuna v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna 2-2 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left Osasuna and Mallorca with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Osasuna at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Osasuna's favour, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.56 to 1.10.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Osasuna against 1.17 for Mallorca.
Osasuna vs Mallorca Result & Final Score
Osasuna 2 - 2 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Osasuna vs Mallorca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 55%, draw 27%, Mallorca 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.