Bochum 3-2 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
4.61
X/2
9%
8.59
X/X
10%
5.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.5
2/2
10%
6.03
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.13/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.60
+10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
26.2 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.67 xG 3.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
378 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-2 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
13.04.2018 Bochum Bochum 3-2 HT 2-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
03.11.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
05.04.2017 Bochum Bochum 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
24.10.2016 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
14.03.2016 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
3-2
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.60 xG 1.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
403 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum nicked a narrow win over Kaiserslautern 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bochum as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bochum had 57% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 43%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.60 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bochum and 1.33 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Kaiserslautern?

Bochum 3-2 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bochum 52%, draw 23%, Kaiserslautern 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bochum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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