Darmstadt 98 2-0 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.51
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.7
X/2
6%
7.86
X/X
9%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
11%
5.52
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.80/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.63
+6% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.0 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 412
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
06.01.2024 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
30.04.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-3 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
21.10.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
02.04.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
23.10.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
2-0
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.94 xG 0.95
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
503 Passes 197
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 got the better of Holstein Kiel 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 67% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 33%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.94 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.00 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?

Darmstadt 98 2-0 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 54%, draw 24%, Holstein Kiel 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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