Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nürnberg v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals
Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
Nürnberg 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf edged past Nürnberg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nürnberg had 52% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 48%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.63 to 2.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Düsseldorf's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nürnberg and 2.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Nürnberg 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 46%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.