Paderborn 1-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.68
No
37%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
21%
4.2
X/2
7%
10.7
X/X
8%
6.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.5
2/2
8%
8.14
2/X
7%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.5pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
2.12/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.73
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.6 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.96 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
04.04.2025 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-2 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.11.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
15.03.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
08.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 1-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
28.04.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 5-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
1-1
AWAY Braunschweig
1.62 xG 0.30
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
421 Passes 162
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn and Braunschweig shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Paderborn carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Paderborn had 68% of the ball to Braunschweig's 32%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.62 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paderborn and 1.33 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Braunschweig?

Paderborn 1-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 57%, draw 23%, Braunschweig 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026
15:00 Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis →
15:00 Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel Analysis →
22:30 Bochum vs Kaiserslautern Analysis →