Newcastle Jets 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 7 Mar 2026

Newcastle Jets
2-1 HT 0-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.58
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.82
1/2
8%
23.95
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
10%
5.63
X/2
12%
7.07
X/X
8%
6.5
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
19.75
2/2
19%
4.0
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Newcastle Jets win — 39%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.1pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
2.16/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.60
+30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.5 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 458
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
26.04.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
08.11.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
11.02.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-3 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
05.11.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.01.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Newcastle Jets 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
2-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.06 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
346 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets squeezed past Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 55% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 2.06 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newcastle Jets and 2.00 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Newcastle Jets 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 39%, draw 21%, Western Sydney Wanderers 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/21/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
7 Mar 2026
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