Lommel United 1-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.21/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
14.3 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.51 xG 2.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
477 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Kortrijk Kortrijk 4-2 HT 2-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
26.05.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 4-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BELP
19.05.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BELP
02.02.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-1
AWAY Kortrijk
2.38 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
308 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and Kortrijk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kortrijk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lommel United had 51% of the ball to Kortrijk's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.38 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kortrijk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lommel United and 3.00 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Kortrijk?

Lommel United 1-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 32%, draw 24%, Kortrijk 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kortrijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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