Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

Septemvri Sofia
0 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Cherno More Varna
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.62
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
1%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Septemvri Sofia v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Septemvri Sofia The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna The Market 54%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
1.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 3

Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
29.11.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-2 HT 0-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
29.07.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-0 HT 0-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
17.03.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-0 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
REVIEW Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cherno More Varna overpowered Septemvri Sofia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.00 for Cherno More Varna.

Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Result & Final Score

Septemvri Sofia 0 - 3 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 21%, draw 28%, Cherno More Varna 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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