Sivasspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 32%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.84/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.24
+26% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.7 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
218 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
18.12.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-4 HT 1-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
18.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
0-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.27 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
314 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 24
33 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü nicked a narrow win over Sivasspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sivasspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sivasspor had 56% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.27 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sivasspor and 1.00 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Sivasspor 0-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 44%, draw 26%, Keçiörengücü 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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