Erzurumspor FK 8-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+2.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.67/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.4 Crosses 13.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
28.03.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
10.11.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
27.01.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
16.04.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-3 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
8-1
AWAY Manisa FK
2.28 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
463 Passes 361
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK cruised past Manisa FK 8-1. Half-time: 5-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 55% of the ball to Manisa FK's 45%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.28 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.33 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK?

Erzurumspor FK 8-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 68%, draw 18%, Manisa FK 13%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Over 2.5
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