Atletico Sanluqueno 0-3 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 38% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.5pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.09/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.83
-12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
0-3
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Sanluqueno 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Atletico Madrid II made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Sanluqueno had 55% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 45%, shots finished 15-18.

What was the final score of Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II?

Atletico Sanluqueno 0-3 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Sanluqueno vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Sanluqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Sanluqueno 40%, draw 31%, Atletico Madrid II 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Sanluqueno), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Sanluqueno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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