Orihuela 2-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.38
Over
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-8.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.17/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.61
+7% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orihuela
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estepona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Estepona Estepona 0-0 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
2-0
AWAY Estepona
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela beat Estepona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Orihuela made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Orihuela had 36% of the ball to Estepona's 64%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Estepona?

Orihuela 2-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 38%, draw 29%, Estepona 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orihuela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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