Bangkok United 2-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.89/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
+21% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.3 Crosses 19.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
336 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
26.02.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-2 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
02.10.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
09.01.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
2-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
0.78 xG 0.85
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
507 Passes 202
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United and Thai Port FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bangkok United had 69% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 31%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bangkok United and 1.00 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Thai Port FC?

Bangkok United 2-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 51%, draw 23%, Thai Port FC 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bangkok United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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