Lamphun Warrior 1-1 Police Tero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Police Tero EU Bookmakers 20%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
0.43/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.49
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Police Tero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
216 Passes 266
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-2 HT 1-2 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
01.10.2022 Police Tero Police Tero 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1-1
AWAY Police Tero
1.58 xG 0.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
265 Passes 155
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Police Tero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior and Police Tero couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Lamphun Warrior carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 62% of the ball to Police Tero's 38%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.58 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 1.00 for Police Tero.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Police Tero?

Lamphun Warrior 1-1 Police Tero in the Thailand - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Police Tero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 60%, draw 20%, Police Tero 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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