Chonburi 0-1 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.01/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.97
-10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.3 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.09 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 275
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Chonburi Chonburi 1-2 HT 0-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
23.10.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
30.04.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-2 HT 1-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
28.11.2021 Chonburi Chonburi 3-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
0-1
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.04 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
244 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi edged past Chonburi 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chonburi had 52% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 48%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.04 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chonburi and 1.25 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Ratchaburi?

Chonburi 0-1 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 34%, draw 23%, Ratchaburi 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ BTTS No
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