Utrecht II 1-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Apr 2025

Utrecht II
1-1 HT 1-0
ADO Den Haag
📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
15%
8.31
1/2
5%
22.0
1/X
8%
16.85
X/1
8%
10.45
X/2
14%
4.17
X/X
12%
5.67
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.07
2/X
6%
15.1
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.31 — our 15% vs market 8.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.04/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.16
-26% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
13.4 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-4D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
29.04.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
27.11.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6-0 HT 4-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
22.01.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
12.09.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
24.04.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2

Utrecht II 1-1 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.53 xG 2.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
228 Passes 461
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II and ADO Den Haag couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Utrecht II had 35% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 65%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.53 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Utrecht II and 2.00 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag?

Utrecht II 1-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 29%, draw 26%, ADO Den Haag 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
7 Apr 2025
21:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II Analysis →