Backa Topola 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.46
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.8 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.07 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
404 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-3 HT 0-3 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
24.02.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-3 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
16.09.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 6-3 HT 3-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
09.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
1-0
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.55 xG 0.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
355 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola squeezed past Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 52% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.55 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Backa Topola and 2.00 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Backa Topola 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 47%, draw 27%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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