Novi Pazar 3-3 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -22%
1.44/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.65
-10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.3 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 2-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
24.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
15.04.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
10.11.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
12.02.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
12.08.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-3 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
3-3
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.30 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
263 Passes 277
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 9
8 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Radnicki Nis shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 48% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.30 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.00 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis?

Novi Pazar 3-3 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 47%, draw 26%, Radnicki Nis 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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