Göztepe 1-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.94
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
21%
4.14
X/2
6%
11.6
X/X
10%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
6%
9.28
2/X
5%
17.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
2.34/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.79
-25% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.8 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 288
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2025 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
01.11.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
23.04.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
06.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.02.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
26.09.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
1-1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.53 xG 0.77
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
346 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
39 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe and Gaziantep FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Göztepe carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Göztepe had 59% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 41%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.53 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göztepe and 1.33 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?

Göztepe 1-1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 59%, draw 23%, Gaziantep FK 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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