Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.75
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
11%
8.13
X/2
20%
4.82
X/X
9%
5.35
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.55
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -17%
1.31/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.10
+5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.7 Crosses 20.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
26.05.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
05.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.06.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-5 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.01.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
25.04.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-3 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.15 xG 1.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
469 Passes 390
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 53% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 47%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.15 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.67 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 28%, draw 23%, Beşiktaş 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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