Stade Ouchy 1-2 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
17%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+0.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 20%
-23% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.93/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/3.26
-42% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.1 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2026 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
06.12.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-2 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
22.08.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona squeezed past Stade Ouchy 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stade Ouchy at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.33 for Rapperswil-Jona.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Stade Ouchy 1-2 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 64%, draw 20%, Rapperswil-Jona 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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