Vaduz 3-2 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.0pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
2.17/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.82
+23% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.8 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2026 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
21.11.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
22.08.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 6-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
12.04.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
16.03.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 3-1 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
08.12.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-2
AWAY Bellinzona
1.25 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz squeezed past Bellinzona 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vaduz had 48% of the ball to Bellinzona's 52%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.25 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vaduz and 0.83 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Vaduz 3-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 69%, draw 20%, Bellinzona 10%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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