Vitebsk 1-0 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.00
+34% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Neman Grodno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2025 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
31.08.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
21.04.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
12.03.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
05.03.2023 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
12.11.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
1-0
AWAY Neman Grodno
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past Neman Grodno 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Neman Grodno at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitebsk had 40% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 60%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vitebsk and 1.17 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno?

Vitebsk 1-0 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 24%, draw 28%, Neman Grodno 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Neman Grodno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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