Kızılyıldız 4-2 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.3pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.2pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.25/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +43%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
481 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.32 xG 0.56
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
509 Passes 180
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
43 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
14.09.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
16.05.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
03.12.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-0 HT 3-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
03.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
4-2
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız got the better of Napredak Krusevac 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 61% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 39%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.00 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac?

Kızılyıldız 4-2 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 67%, draw 19%, Napredak Krusevac 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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