Napredak Krusevac 0-4 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
13%
+8.7pp
64%
Away Win
79%
-15.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 84%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.69/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.67
-29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.5
16.0 Crosses 25.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.59 xG 2.27
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
185 Passes 451
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
16.05.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
03.12.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-0 HT 3-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
03.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRBK
19.03.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-4
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.40 xG 1.88
26% Ball Possession 74%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
188 Passes 640
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 52
10 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız cruised past Napredak Krusevac 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 26% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 74%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.40 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.00 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız?

Napredak Krusevac 0-4 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 15%, draw 22%, Kızılyıldız 64%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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