IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.75/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.46
-30% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
26.7 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
24.05.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
24.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
29.07.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-2
AWAY Spartak Subotica
2.92 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
25 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
276 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica nicked a narrow win over IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 43% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 57%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.92 to 0.87 — on chances, IMT Novi Beograd could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.50 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 46%, draw 27%, Spartak Subotica 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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