FK Partizan 4-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 26%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.51/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.80
-1% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +107%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.9 Crosses 20.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.34 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 407
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-2 HT 1-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
4-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
3.10 xG 1.17
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
437 Passes 189
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan cruised past OFK Beograd 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Partizan had 67% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 33%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.10 to 1.17.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd?

FK Partizan 4-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 47%, draw 27%, OFK Beograd 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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