Gorica 2-1 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.90/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.16
-2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilirija
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 1-3 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
07.04.2024 Gorica Gorica 4-1 HT 3-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
20.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-4 HT 0-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.03.2022 Gorica Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
2-1
AWAY Ilirija
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica squeezed past Ilirija 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gorica had 59% of the ball to Ilirija's 41%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Gorica and 0.75 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Ilirija?

Gorica 2-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gorica 57%, draw 21%, Ilirija 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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