Triglav 5-0 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
22%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
82%
-24.7pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.4pp
22%
Away Win
6%
+16.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 8%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.26/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.08
+65% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
496 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tolmin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 1-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
09.03.2024 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 2-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
19.08.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 0-4 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
5-0
AWAY Tolmin
64% Ball Possession 36%
28 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav swept aside Tolmin 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Triglav had 64% of the ball to Tolmin's 36%, shots finished 28-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Triglav had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Triglav and 0.33 for Tolmin.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Tolmin?

Triglav 5-0 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Triglav 58%, draw 20%, Tolmin 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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